Strategy ConfigurationConfiguration
Maximum loss % per trade
Target profit % per trade
Your alert accuracy rate
How many trades have you made?
For profit projection
% of capital per operation
Viability Metrics
| Metric | Result | What it means |
|---|---|---|
| Breakeven Win Rate | 50.0% | If you hit more than this, you make money |
| Historical Win Rate | 58.0% | Past alert accuracy rate |
| Safety Margin | +8.0% | How far above breakeven you are |
| Expectancy per Trade | +0.32% | Expected average profit per trade (% of capital) |
| Risk:Reward Ratio | 1:1.0 | For every $1 lost, seeks to gain $1.0 |
✅ Mathematically Viable Strategy
Your Win Rate (58.0%) is 8.0% above the required breakeven (50.0%).
Convergence Funnel
📊 Convergence Funnel: As the number of trades increases, the confidence interval (purple area) narrows, converging to the real Win Rate.
Recommendations
Planner Mode
You are planning your strategy. See below how many trades are needed for statistical validation.
🎯 To Validate with 95% Confidence
With win rate of 58.0% and margin of error of ±5%:
Required Trades
375
📊 Validation Projections
Margin of Error
±5.0%
Interval
[53.0%, 63.0%]
vs Breakeven
+3.0%
Tips to Accelerate Validation
- • Operate consistently following your strategy (defined SL and TP)
- • Record ALL trades (not just the winners)
- • Avoid changing the strategy mid-process
- • The more trades, the smaller the margin of error and higher the confidence
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